Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets - Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Shared by:Tim31
Written by Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Format: MP3
Written by: Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Narrated by: Sean Pratt
Length: 10 hrs and 1 min
Format: Unabridged
Release Date:01-10-08
Publisher’s Summary
This audiobook is about luck, or more precisely, how we perceive and deal with luck in life and business. It is already a landmark work and its title has entered our vocabulary. In its second edition, Fooled by Randomness is now a cornerstone for anyone interested in random outcomes.
Set against the backdrop of the most conspicuous forum in which luck is mistaken for skill, the world of trading, this audiobook is a captivating insight into one of the least understood factors of all our lives. In an entertaining narrative style, the author succeeds in tackling three major intellectual issues: the problem of induction, the survivorship biases, and our genetic unfitness to the modern word. Taleb uses stories and anecdotes to illustrate our overestimation of causality and the heuristics that make us view the world as far more explainable than it actually is.
The audiobook is populated with an array of characters, some of whom have grasped, in their own way, the significance of chance: Yogi Berra, the baseball legend; Karl Popper, the philosopher of knowledge; Solon, the ancient world’s wisest man; the modern financier George Soros; and the Greek voyager Ulysses. We also meet the fictional Nero, who seems to understand the role of randomness in his professional life, but who also falls victim to his own superstitious foolishness.
But the most recognizable character remains unnamed, the lucky fool in the right place at the right time - the embodiment of the “Survival of the Least Fit”. Such individuals attract devoted followers who believe in their guru’s insights and methods. But no one can replicate what is obtained through chance.
It may be impossible to guard against the vagaries of the Goddess Fortuna, but after listening to Fooled by Randomness we can be a little better prepared.
©2004 Nassim Nicholas Taleb; (P)2008 Gildan Media Corp
What the Critics Say
“[Taleb is] Wall Street’s principal dissident….[Fooled by Randomness] is to conventional Wall Street wisdom approximately what Martin Luther’s ninety-nine theses were to the Catholic Church.” (Malcolm Gladwell, The New Yorker)
“An articulate, wise, and humorous meditation on the nature of success and failure that anyone who wants a little more of the former would do well to consider.” (Amazon.com)
“An Excellent and Worthwhile Book”
An interesting book that is enlivened by stories of various traders and insults targeted at journalists, economists, MBAs, and philistines in general. He comes off as kind of arrogant and condesending but since I’m too thick to understand that he’s talking about me, I find the irreverent tone rather enjoyable. He does a great job on a difficult topic.
“Pass on this one and read The Black Swan”
Taleb’s master work and must read is The Black Swan (not the movie) and it’s amazing. This is a sparse shadow of that book.”Pass on this one and read The Black Swan”
Taleb’s master work and must read is The Black Swan (not the movie) and it’s amazing. This is a sparse shadow of that book.
“Fun to listen to”
Many reviews of this book point out that the author is arrogant, and I agree, but
this arrogance probably comes from his insecurity of, after all, still being in the
financial industry that he seems to despise. He cannot get out of it.
The issue of “fooled by randomness” applies to so many aspects of life,
not just financial industry. There are some insightful comments in the book.
If you expect to learn many things from this book,
you may be disappointed. For the first couple of hours, his snideness and arrogance
bothered me, but then I began to enjoy listening to this frustrated flawed character
who occasionally speaks truth in a tragicomedy style.
“The Better Taleb?”
I think of the two Taleb books I listened to, I prefer this. Both are interesting, with inspired and creative thought experiments and new ways of looking at problems and such, but the actor here did a better job of being likeable, and not coming off as vain and pretentious and holier-than-all. So it was easier to listen to and I think truer to who Taleb probably is. Other books of interest might be the “Freakonomics” books if you like this or wonder if you will like it. This does not guide you on how to get rich or predict the future, if that is what you are looking for. Its just a general interest intellectual book.
“very entertaining and eye opening”
Would you recommend this audiobook to a friend? If so, why?
This is not only entertaining, but enlightening because it illustrates with easily understandable examples, how randomness affects all of us whether we realize it or not. By applying the principles to our own lives, we may be able to understand our behavior and behavior of others better while giving us an advantage over others who do not understand these things. The author is clever in using illustrations to depict some complex statistical ideas and he does so in a very practical and understandable way that even non-math people can understand.
This is not a dry mathematical book but a very enjoyable read/listen. I kept coming back to it again and again just like any good book that keeps you going until it is finished. I enjoyed The Black Swan and this book is no disappointment - definitely recommend.
If you could give Fooled by Randomness a new subtitle, what would it be?
Things you might not realize were randomness and how you deal with it in your life.
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This post has one comment
November 16th, 2023
bruh…i never thought it could be still seeding…..💕💕
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